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Archives for March 2014

The Magic of Modularity

March 26, 2014 by LaunchTomorrow

If you’re thinking of creating a new product, you don’t want to wait a week. Especially in the early days, when you need to make up your mind about what the product is.

The fastest way to speed up testing? Delegate tests and run them in parallel. The financial value of low granularity tests which you can run quickly is immense. You want to benchmark product ideas against each other. You can complete hypothesis tests much faster.

When organizing your own workflow, modularity increases your ability to scale testing. Total elapsed time is much lower. You can do many tasks in parallel and then combined at the end. This includes testing activity.

You iterate out of that initial fuzzy zone, and into working on product that sells based on a clear promise. Your product doesn’t need to be finished. Instead, the product idea must be clear and easy to understand and attractive for your target audience.

For example, for years big banks and trading firms tried to create software for algorithmic trading. Traders used computers to execute simple strategies much faster than a person could. A computer can snatch and resell a product in milliseconds, if it identified a price difference across two markets.

Your riskiest assumptions are probably related to your prospects and customers. Establish empathy quickly with your target prospect, figure out what's valuable, and get your innovation into the market.

The principle is the same as using an ebay sniper. If you could have computers
1. identify opportunities
2. patiently wait for the appropriate moment,
3. buy and sell at exactly the best time,
the computers would execute transactions on better terms. Computers’ response time was much lower resolution. Electrical impulses sent from eye, to brain, to finger took ages, relatively speaking. That speed made a big difference.

A few years ago, banks started moving away from big cloud arrays of central processing units (CPUs) with standard code. Instead, they started using hardware from high performance computing. Graphics hardware known to gamers, like Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) found new purpose.

The main difference between CPUs and GPUs? GPUs enforced the use of modularity and parallelism at an low level. Data would passed in. The whole chip could be used simultaneously to process data. There were no serial bottlenecks, which often arose because CPUs were general purpose.

The difference in performance was staggering. JP Morgan claimed that they had reduced the time required for overnight risk calculations down to one minute. With the same level of accuracy. While creating the FGPA arrays requires more effort up front, the benefit is clear.

Competitively, JP Morgan had much better information to act on. Calculations happen on an interval of one minute. Everyone else just “whips their horses” harder. At the same time their competitors only reconcile their overall risk once a day.

Low-level hardware modularity meant that JPM executed the same instructions much faster. It created the right environment. Geeks run hundreds of similar calculations in parallel, and then combining the results as one final step.

Academics have replicated these results in studies. Compared to using a standard CPU, the performance difference for simple arithmetic was 147x faster on modular hardware. It just happens the arithmetic calculates the price of a financial option. You pass in standardized data. Any part of the chip can run the calculation. Nothing changes as it all runs. At the end, the results are all summed up. Only then, the data in updated.

Imagine being able to do the same for your business or startup.

You have a bunch of ideas, but don’t know where to start. If you can figure out how to sort out the best ones quickly and test many ideas in parallel, you can get clarity very, very, very fast.

You can use same approach for individual benefits or even features. Hey, drill down as much as you want. The same logic applies. As the Beastie Boys say, “If ya got the skills, you pay the bills.” Easy.

If you want to find out more about how to do this, take a look at Launch Tomorrow

<< Help Yo' Friends

Filed Under: experiments, marketing, modularity

Market Testing Velocity

March 5, 2014 by LaunchTomorrow Leave a Comment

Andrew-G_Profiling-for-maximum-velocity-research_10.11.12

The best way to discover what makes your prospects tick is to run
an experiment. If you are pressed for time, the best way to
discover what makes them buy is to run many experiments over a very
short time period.

Assuming these two would cost exactly the same amount, which would
be more valuable to you as a product manager?

  1. 1 test, which runs for one week, which gives you 99% certainty
    on your results
  2. 30 tests, which take one hour each, with 90% certainty each

Clearly the second set of tests is much more valuable. When you
finish the first test, you can form another hypothesis and test
that. One set of results directly feeds into the rest. If you want
to identify surprising results quickly, as this is most likely to
give you outsized results, option B is a much better way to enter a
market.

To some extent, it’s reversing the iterative nature of agile,
and applying it during pre-development when performing product
research. Feedback loops are enormously powerful when dealing with
prospects and customers too.

“Market Testing Velocity” can mean a lot to you in a
high-pressure situation if you want to get something going quickly.
If you complete tests quickly, you can run multiple tests in
succession.

In this case, you are doing marketing research on your
prospects or existing customers, in order to map out what they
need. Your goal is to identify what they need most, a
“bleeding neck”, as quickly as possible. You are trying
to discover a cognitive and emotional map of their needs, in order
to orient your own efforts most effectively.

If this tickled your fancy, and you’d like to read more about
market testing velocity, you’ll find out more in Launch Tomorrow.

<< Help Yo' Friends

Filed Under: delay, marketing, software, startup, time management Tagged With: faster time to market, minimum viable product, product market fit

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